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Thursday, 16 January 2014

Scotland's 2014 6 Nations Squad Does Little To Address Problem At Half Backs

by Dugald Skene

The 36 man Scotland training squad named on Wednesday for the upcoming 6 Nations tournament didn't throw up many, if any surprises.  In the wake of the announcement, some familiar comments were banding around the social networks, some that have been aired many times before but nevertheless still haven't been answered - like why Chris Fusaro is still not capped by his country?

Congratulations to Dougie Fife too, who was named in the squad as the only new boy.

For all the familiarity of the selection, the deficiencies at half back are still as glaringly obvious as ever.  Only two scrum halves - Greig Laidlaw and Chris Cusiter - have been selected and Scott Johnson appears to be once again plumping for Ruaridh Jackson at 10, with Duncan Weir his back up option.

The latter stuns me.  While there has no doubt been a marked improvement in Jackson's all round play under the tutelage of past master Gregor Townsend since his takeover of the Glasgow head coach job, Ruaridh is not an international stand off.  It's not for lack of trying and it's certainly not because he hasn't been afforded the opportunity, he has simply failed to take it and run with it.

Of course this is open to argument, but I would encourage anyone to try and think of any Ruaridh Jackson related highlights for Scotland in the past 5 years or so.  I certainly struggle.

Ruaridh Jackson is under pressure to perform

What's more, I believe there is better talent behind him ready to be exposed at a consistent level.  First in line is Duncan Weir.  Small in stature and a little weak in defence, he has far me far more awareness of the game around him and is infinitely better at making those split second decisions.  A classic example would be when he came on for Jackson in that dismal performance against South Africa last November. Almost instantly, he was shipping the ball to the man on his outside shoulder and wasn't trying audacious miss passes at every opportunity.

His kicking from hand is accurate, and possibly his best weapon. Even better, he knows when it's on and when it isn't. His threaded through kick against South Africa was inch perfect and should have led to Tommy Seymour crossing the line was it not for some last ditch covering. It was Scotland's only real chance of the game and came from a clear awareness of what was in front of him and a well executed kick under pressure from a strong South African defensive line.

The issues over his size and strength are real ones, but it wasn't that long ago that Leigh Halfpenny was considered quite weak defensively. We all know how that turned out.

Second in line is probably Tom Heathcote, who I admit up front I don't know a huge amount about.  What I have seen of him from the quadrangular tournament in South Africa last summer and a few games here and there, he has the clear potential to establish himself as a very different option to Weir. Being based in England, he has had little opportunity to familiarise himself with the Scottish crowds, and vice versa, and so some exposure now would have been beneficial, I would have thought.

Time is running out. With a  little over 18 months until the World Cup, Scotland need to have an established figure at 10 that can direct the game, and even be a game changer. Not since Townsend have we had any real creativity at that position, it's all been a bit one dimensional. That's not to say a non-creative player can't succeed - I wouldn't put Craig Chalmers in the bracket of 'flair player' - but at least Chalmers was solid, consistent and knew how to read the game and adapt accordingly.

With the likely crucial showdown with Samoa set to dictate whether Scotland progress from the group to the quarter finals, experience at key positions is going to be required.

In short, this 6 Nations tournament is the last chance for Ruaridh Jackson. I'd give him two games to prove that he can step up and perform for Scotland at the highest level, including at Murrayfield against the English, who we have only lost to once since 2004 on Scottish turf.

So what about scrum half?

Firstly, I'm surprised Henry Pyrgos hasn't been included in the squad.  With only 2 specialist scrum halves, we are not giving ourselves many options.  As much as I like him and he has been my preferred number 9 of the last decade or so, Chris Cusiter is on his way out at international level.  In many respects, he has been unlucky in the past with injuries and a particularly strong competition for places whilst Mike Blair and Rory Lawson were both vying for top spot. 

That said, unless there is a clear intention for Cusiter to be at the next World Cup as one of the top two scrum half options, he shouldn't be picked over the younger emerging talents of the likes of Pyrgos.

I'm no betting man, but provided he stays fit, Greig Laidlaw will be the first name on the World Cup team sheet - of that I have no doubt - and I would be happy with that.  He has been reasonably consistent and he knows how to rally his forwards. A strong voice for a wee man and a key leader for a team that lacks a lot of leadership, especially in the backs.

If the Scottish fans are honest with themselves (and I am a hopeless optimist at this time every year), Scotland don't have a realistic shot at the 6 nations title.  It may be a slightly controversial opinion, but I would happily see the Scottish coaching staff approach this year's tournament with an air of experimentation, fully aware that the price may be a wooden spoon.  I believe the potential long term benefits may well be worth it.  I'm not suggesting we don't compete, because any Scottish player would give their all, no matter who was on the pitch. I just think it might be the right time to take some risks.

Scott Johnson's selection is notably risk averse, and this saddens me somewhat.


Scotland's 36 man training camp squad for the 6 Nations 2014:

Forwards: John Beattie (Montpellier), Kelly Brown (Saracens), Geoff Cross, David Denton, Alasdair Dickinson, Ross Ford (all Edinburgh Rugby), Chris Fusaro (Glasgow Warriors), Grant Gilchrist (Edinburgh Rugby), Ryan Grant, Jonny Gray (both Glasgow Warriors), Richie Gray (Castres), Jim Hamilton (Montpellier), Robert Harley (Glasgow Warriors), Scott Lawson (Newcastle Falcons), Kieran Low (London Irish), Moray Low, Pat MacArthur (both Glasgow Warriors), Ross Rennie (Edinburgh Rugby) Alasdair Strokosch (Perpignan), Tim Swinson and Ryan Wilson (both Glasgow Warriors).

Backs: Chris Cusiter (Glasgow Warriors), Nick De Luca (Edinburgh Rugby), Alex Dunbar (Glasgow Warriors), Max Evans (Castres), Dougie Fife (Edinburgh Rugby), Stuart Hogg, Ruaridh Jackson, Sean Lamont (all Glasgow Warriors), Greig Laidlaw (Edinburgh Rugby), Sean Maitland (Glasgow Warriors), Matt Scott (Edinburgh Rugby), Tommy Seymour (Glasgow Warriors), Duncan Taylor (Saracens), Greig Tonks (Edinburgh Rugby) and Duncan Weir (Glasgow Warriors).

Not considered due to injury: Alastair Kellock (Glasgow Warriors), Euan Murray (Worcester Warriors), Peter Horne (Glasgow Warriors) and Tim Visser (Edinburgh Rugby).

Notable names left out: John Barclay (Scarlets), Jack Cuthbert, Roddy Grant (Edinburgh), Dougie Hall, Henry Pyrgos, Jon Welsh (Glasgow)

Wednesday, 15 January 2014

NFL Conference Finals Are The Deserved Match Ups

by Dugald Skene

Never mind that the NFL conference final line ups are the ones we wanted to see, they are the match ups that all four teams deserve.

It's been many a year since the top 2 seeds from each conference have made it to their respective finals in the same year. Lately, there has always been an outsider, a wildcard team that has got hot in the post season.  Look no further than the Giants and the Ravens in the last two years as prime examples, both getting in through the back door to claim the Superbowl crown.

The divisional round didn't throw up any real surprises, and nothing like the exciting action of wildcard weekend (unless you're a fan of dominant defences slugging it out), but the cream has risen to the top, and the two match ups this weekend are generating many a headline.

The most obvious one is the difference in styles - the old versus the new, the young guns of the NFC taking on the stalwarts of the AFC.  The immediate advantage is that we will end up with a representative of each in the Superbowl and it doesn't really matter at this stage who progresses to the biggest stage - any combination of Seattle and the 49ers against the Broncos or Patriots is a mouth watering prospect.

With such even matched games, it's anyone's guess who will be in New York in February, but it won't stop me trying.

San Francisco at Seattle has everything - dominant defences, strong running games and two young quarterbacks that have the ability to carry their team when needed.

Colin Kaepernick of the 49ers has undoubtedly got the best arsenal at his disposal.  The triumphant return of Michael Crabtree at WR, together with veteran Anquan Boldin and TE Vernon Davis, means the 49ers have all their strongest options available to them.  The outstanding Seahawks secondary will have their hands full, but if there's any defence that can contain the 49ers wide men, it's the likes of Richard Sherman, Earl Thomas, Kam Chancellor and co.  Each had an outstanding game against the Saints this past weekend, confining Drew Brees to a career low 34 throwing yards in the first half of that game.  More of the same will be needed this time.

This will be the 3rd time the 49ers and Seahawks have
met this season

The Kaepernick/Wilson battle is generating a lot of intrigue.  There's no doubt that Kaepernick has go hotter as this postseason has gone on, not least because of the return to fitness of Crabtree, and Wilson's form during the last 5-6 weeks hasn't been great.  Wilson's options are also limited.  Percy Harvin is a doubt after being concussed at least once by the Saints (a great and legal hit too, by the way), and Golden Tate was a shell of himself after taking an early hit in the 1st quarter on Sunday.  Doug Baldwin isn't a first choice WR and so much of Seattle's game plan will be to run the ball through Marshawn Lynch - Beast Mode. 

I'm not convinced a one-dimensional running game is going to cut it against that front 7 of San Francisco who have been epic against the run of late.  Even with the 12th man behind them, Seattle could struggle in this one.

Pick: San Francisco 49ers by 6

If I'm truly honest about it, I don't care so much about the AFC conference game.  It's certainly one for the old timers, the fans of the pocket passer and the old school general type quarterback.  Both Peyton Manning and Tom Brady have been here before - Manning going for his 3rd Superbowl appearance (and second win), Brady his 6th (and 4th win). 

Both men are under pressure for different reasons.  Talk in the NFL has been dominated by the idea of legacy and what it means for Manning to win or not win a second ring. There is no doubt he has been one of the best regular season QB's in the history of the game, but the regular season wins you nothing. His postseason record is poor  for a guy with his numbers.  Taking nothing away from his win with the Colts, with the Broncos he has the back up that might see him fulfil the undoubted potential of the last decade.  With WRs Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker and TE Julius Thomas, he has big men to throw at, as well as the small man with the big game aptitude, slot receiver Wes Welker.

This will be the 4th postseason game between Brady & Manning
 - Brady leads 2-1

Brady, on the other hand, hasn't won a Superbowl for 9 years, despite making it to the big one twice since the win in 2004.  A win this year could possible cement him as the best ever - the third quarterback to win 4 rings but easily the most consistent over the longest period.  This will be the Patriots' 3rd consecutive AFC conference game, and Brady and coach Belichik have won 11 divisional titles together

I see the Patriots going to Denver and playing hard ball.  If this past weekend has shown us anything, it's that the Patriots can evolve quickly, and lately their running game has come to the fore with LeGarette Blount - 8 TD's and almost 400 yards in his past 3 games. 

For Denver to win this, they need to get off to a strong start.  The longer the game goes on and Denver find themselves in a position where they need to make big offensive plays to win, the pressure might get just too much, and the Mile High crowd might not help their team as much as we might think.  When it comes to the clutch, I'd rather have Brady than Manning on my side.  That said, if the Broncos defence plays like they did for 3 quarters against the Chargers on Sunday, they're in with a very good start.

Pick:  Denver Broncos by 3